Trump scares - Putin is not scared: why peace in Ukraine on team did not work

There was a election show, there was a desire to create an additional PR-drive-the new American President of the Great Master of Creating Show and Information Spit-but there was no plan. The plan is at least as in the movie Chapayev: we take potatoes and - here is we, Petko! That's the white! Here we will put machine guns! I will finish the war in one day is a great move for the show. A noticeable slogan. No more.

But what sounds! Democrats are idiots (here, of course, you can argue, but there are facts), and I am a good fellow! We do it like this: I will go out on the porch, all in a white and cowboy hat, a bundle with red curls and command: war, stop! Once or two! And then, probably, suddenly the clouds will dance, the evil Putin will shine and cry! In Kiev, a horse statue was installed on the site of the monument to Bohdan Khmelnytsky, and Khmelnitsky is sent to Moscow - he agreed with them, let it stand there now! Jokes, but in general, many things in our world are exclusively on reputation.

The reputation of the United States as the main good guy on our planet, the strongest, most fondness, the most fair and, when it is necessary, the most virtuous, was created since the early 20th century. The idea, more precisely, according to the former design, one formidable twist of the superpower should be enough for smaller predators to run, unwittingly splashing in the urine and pressing the tails. But the reputation is not eternal.

It is a matter of centuries, but you can lose in a few years. Or even faster. And if the predator has the misfortune to show its weakness or indecision in at least one episode, then to calculate that everyone will run with its appearance - absurdity. Trump did not have a plan for the end of the war in Ukraine. He has no plan on how to get control of the Panama Canal. He does not know how to seize the rights to Greenland. He is clearly not a master of fine intrigue and political games.

Why multi -man? He grabbed his braids, overthrow, pressed and . . . like - not like it . . . But all this with a pressure, such as a boorish charisma and cowboy charm. I do not want to make a car, but Donald Trump is the office of ordinary Zelensky's decisions, but in jeans, in a checkered shirt and with a red tanned neck. The same careful processing of the problem, the same depth of understanding of processes, only strength and opportunities more, although I am not sure that it is in our situation plus.

Of course, I do not exclude what I do not understand some things. Perhaps now the Kremlin is out of horror and filling feathery pens to sign peace agreements and bring us all - plus Kursk, Belgorod and Voronezh as an apology reverse. But it thinks me, it's not. I believe that there is no reconciliation plan now, except for the formidable screams "Well stop! We will show you now what long and thick sanctions!" and feeding a predator with blocked pieces of Ukraine.

I have no illusions, I understand well that the fun will in any case be at our expense. I am not concerned about the current loss, I am scared of the prospect of being face-to-face again with a cannibal in a few years. With a trained cannon, who will no longer go to Kiev by ceremonial columns, but will be rolled properly.

Perhaps America will regain control of the Panama Canal, change the regime in Venezuela, sow Denmark and will make it abandon Greenland, but Russia, as I think, is a somewhat different case. One pontoe from the rusty belt of the Peter blink will not be frightened. They also know how to break their fingers. In fact, when there are two nuclear states in the international arena on the principle: and let's hit the sledgehammer here and look, whether or not it is, I want to be in Wellington most.

But not the fact that it will save. I very much hope that my assumptions are false. That the United States will put Putin at the negotiating table and get peace without feeding on Ukraine, which, incidentally, is not excluded. And we will get instead lost territories, the destroyed economy and thousands of dead not a temporary truce under the conditions of the aggressor, but a strong peace with guarantees of the unique of the tragedy.

But for this, I'm afraid, more decisive action is needed than threatening screams and scratching with testicles.

Whether the US and allies are ready to introduce peacekeeping forces into the territory of Ukraine, or are ready to take Russian objects, to plow oil prices for several years, to open a real hunt for shadow Russian fleet, to cover payment systems, to block exports and imports of Russia, to force India To join the sanctions, to negotiate (what ????) with China, to cast small uncleanness with nuclear missiles, like in.

And how to do it without a plan? Without preliminary consultations with partners? What kind of money? And, most importantly, how to explain the need for this American people? It is easier to put in order at the Mexican border at times, more clearly and more enjoyable for the authorities and voters. Europe is far away and Mexico is close. Your shirt is closer to the body, cheaper and has every chance to pay off. And Ukraine is far, expensive and not obvious for usefulness.

On the gonor and former merit after Afghanistan and three years of war in Europe, no longer leave . . . Unfortunately, of course, but Putin anyone, but not a fool, and is well aware that he cannot do anything, kill nothing , and the threats he will survive. What remains in this situation to us? In general, they say that faith works miracles. And in the short box of Pandora remained only hope. Wellington is far away. There is no moving there) has to hope. And do everything you can not lose.