This was announced in an interview with Ukrainian Witness, published on January 4, by the former commander of the 53rd separate mechanized brigade, Lieutenant Colonel Anatoly "Kohpol" Kozel. He confirmed that Avdiivka had to be dug in 2022. Now, according to the military, it is necessary to dig the Dnieper and Dnipropetrovsk region, and Kherson should be prepared for a defense operation. "And we need to stop deceiving ourselves. We have a total deception at all levels," the dome emphasized.
He assured that Commander -in -Chief Alexander Sirsky receives up to 100% information. The goat reported that the situation on the front is "very critical" because there are lacking people, a possible collapse of the front and possible strategic miscalculations. He noted that at that moment the front "fell" only tactically, conditionally "30% of the front with holes in defense. " "If they take Kherson, they will have a bridgehead on the right bank.
Zaporozhye is a similar situation," the lieutenant colonel warned. According to his forecast, in 2025 the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will continue to step in the Donetsk direction. If they seize Pokrovsk, they will come directly to the Dnipropetrovsk region. "There are all the key routes, all strategy. That is, they saddle these trails, and here-the Dnieper. The Dnieper should already be prepared as Berlin was prepared in the 45th or how Moscow was prepared in the 41st.
Likewise, Kherson, as well as Zaporozhye, " - said the serviceman. He stressed that as of now, Ukraine is losing in all directions of the front. According to the former combrig, if nothing changes, at best there will be a tactical loss of territories, at worst - operational, ie "half of the region". He explained that tactical is 20 kilometers, operative - 100 kilometers, and strategic is 500 kilometers. "That is, we will start to lose the territory not 2-3 kilometers, but 20-30 kilometers.
It will already be the enemy to operate space. According to him, it is a bad scenario, but "possible". "If everything moves on how it moves now, then we will not lose 300 meters. We will be 5 kilometers for start, then we will lose 20," the military explained. He appreciated the reality of the occupation threat to Zaporizhzhya, Kherson, Dnipro and Kharkiv as "50 to 50". According to Lieutenant Colonel, there is enough resources to capture the big city of the enemy.
Until Russia is touched by the population, the mobilization of which can lead to unrest, but it has a reserve. The goat told that the occupiers operate on the tactics of flanking hides - yes "fuel" Avdiivka and Soledar. The actions of enemy forces are envisaged. At the same time, the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces was "in the forehead", so Ukraine used its reserves for the future and went "Va-Bank".
The military noted that since 2022, the general "has lost the best elite combat potential of motivated, patriotic Ukrainians who came into the army. " This living force was lost in frontal attacks, and the potential is not endless. According to him, previously calculated 5 million, and in fact it was about 1-1. 5 million, and it ended in 2022 and early 2023. "And we have a biped personnel that is captured and escapes in the HCP. We have approximately 100, 150, 200 thousand. Dome".
He added that a replacement was needed to demobilize the soldiers on the front. However, there is no "adequate rotational system" in Ukraine. We will remind, the journalist forbes reported that now one of the main goals of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation - the occupation of Pokrovskaya. At the same time, for Ukraine, one of the most important missions is to protect the city.
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