If the Russian Federation throws 200,000 mobilized on the front, Ukraine will lose 20,000 soldiers - Arestovich

According to the Ukrainian expert, the main intrigue is how the Russian Federation will use its reserve in 150-200 thousand mobilized. Arestovich suggests that Russia intends to transfer the main reserve of conscripts in Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The military command also wants to partially directs mobilized in Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhya regions - to those areas where areas borders with Donbass. It is necessary for the Russians to provide flanks, he says.

At the same time, the politician believes that if Russia immediately throws all 200 thousand people into the territory of Ukraine, it will be difficult for the Armed Forces. "Of course, if they [Russians] all 200 thousand will bring here [to Ukraine] and throw it into battle, to put it mildly, it will be fun," - comments the representative of the OP. In this case, the Ukrainian military will have to sit in defense for at least two months, he says.

"Why? Because they now have 210 thousand in our territory. Plus another 200 thousand. You can imagine," - said OP advisor. At the same time, Arestovich has no doubt that the Ukrainian army will be able to defeat Russian mobilized soldiers. However, the whole thing in the price that will have to be paid for it. "The price will be terrible for us. I think that, before killing and injuring these 200 thousand, we will lose about 20-30 thousand killed and wounded, maybe more," he explains.

According to the expert, Ukraine will be able to cope with such a fresh Russian reserve in 2-3 months. If Russia does not have time to recruit another 200,000 soldiers, Ukraine uses the won time for the offensive, the expert predicts. We will remind, on January 11 the adviser of the office of the President Alexei Arestovich stated that Russian invaders established fire control over the route Bakhmut - Soledar in Donetsk region. According to him, Soledar is also under the control of the Russians.