The ravine - until May 9. How real plans of the Russian Federation on the capture of the city

The Russian troops do not take the ravine until May 9, the military observer Alexander Kovalenko is confident. They seek to do it for another sacral date, but for a number of reasons it is simply unrealistic about taking the time ravine on May 9 . . . It is absolutely not surprising that such an order was given to the command of the roa.

Russian occupiers have an extremely manic fetish on dates, New Year's Eve, Putin's Birthday, May 1, May 9, even the day of the Constitution of Ukraine and Independence Day for them is extremely trigger, for which they always plan some meanness. We do not forget May 2 as a "special offer" for Odessa, and recently we could see on April 10, the day of Liberation of Odessa from the Nazis, a repeated blow to ballistic missiles in the city and region.

They are sick, they are maniacs, they are tied to the dates. But. But the Yar did not capture them until May 9. By itself, the city is a fortress, and although it is less than Bakhmut and Avdiivka, it is a height, with a difficult landscape for the offensive. The city, compared to Bakhmut and Avdiivka, has its pros and cons. Pros are heights that are good for artillery, but is a lot from them when the BC deficit? This is a factor. And if there is no BC deficit? This is a multiple advantage.

Pros - and Siversky Donets, a channel, which is a natural obstacle that plays the role of even some delimitation line. The disadvantages can be attributed . . . without clarification, but the main thing is that it will not be able to expand a full offensive on the city without the control of Bogdanivka, Ivanivsky, Klischivka and Andriyivka. That is, to begin with, they will need to resolve the issue with these NP.

Let me remind you that they have been trying to establish control of Ivanovo ROV from last year, and to regain control of the mite and Andreevka . . . Similarly. In addition, desperate attempts to command the 11th ODSBR in Ivanovsky lead to the fact that this formation is worth it and in general at some point may lose combat capacity, and it will have to be removed from the time ravine.

Let me remind you that the reserve 11th ODSBR on December 1, 2023 was withdrawn from the 36th Army Army of the Eastern Military District and together with the 56th and 83rd ODSBR (who were also reserve) were included in the VAT formation for centralization of management landing.

This brigade is very active in the Ivanovosky direction to demonstrate the military-political leadership, they say, a new concept of the use of troops that jump out of the land moving above the land, with the cry of "Goid!" and for further implementation, taking into account all related budget investments in the form of a separate trough. In a sense, Ivanovo for VAT command is a chance to bring the blood and meat of the 11th ODSBR from the distant Ulan-Us that they "can".

Therefore, I am not surprised if the command is ready for this village to put the whole team, but to achieve the goal. In general, there is no critical change in the presence of moles in the area in the area, namely, in addition to the 2 and 3 AKs involved in the area involved in the area, as well as a regular landing, the Volunteer Assault Corps (DSK) operates near the temporal ravine.

It is obvious that by May 9, the jar will not be able not to capture the ravine, but even to create all the necessary conditions for the next epic offensive. That is, the next fetish-date will be unambiguously torn, primarily due to the titanic efforts of our soldiers, who, in the face of delays in deliveries from international partners, need your help. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.