We are preparing for shutdowns: what are the consequences of fire of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation of Energy

First, they beat two parts of the power system-the generating and distributive. Secondly, there were many transtops. What threatens this situation to consumers, how much repairs can continue, whether to wait for blackouts and what regions are now in the risk zone? The answer to these questions was focus together with experts.

The main feature of powerful attacks by Russia in recent days is that the blows were much more accurate, so the consequences - much worse, noted in the conversation with focus the director of energy programs of the Razumkov Center Vladimir Omelchenko. "The largest hydroelectric power station is damaged - Dniprovsk, as well as half of DTEK equipment, and now thermal and hydropower are our main balancing capacity. UKRERPERGO equipment is damaged by 100 million euros.

That is, the situation in the energy is extremely difficult," the expert said. Earlier, Dniproges and the loss of DTEK group 50% of the generating capacity were told by Yasno Director Sergey Kovalenko. According to him, the attacks of Russians on the one hand destroy the ability of the system to transmit electricity, and on the other - reduce the capabilities of generation. "They tactically they hit the nodes, disintegrate the power system into the" islands.

" We will be able to produce electricity as much as we consume, " - said Yasno CEO. Answering the question where to take the balancing capacity, if the TPP has left the power system, the energy expert on the Ukrainian Institute of the Future Andrian Prokip noted that in the short term it is necessary to unload the system, in the long -term - to build new capacities, a new gas generation. Despite all the above, it is not necessary to wait for Blacks, experts say.

"There is no risk of a total blackout at the moment, but the probability of emergency shutdowns in the regions - more than 50%," said Prokip in the focus comment. "The weather is cold, the pasmur, solar generation is little, imports are stored at a high level. If you take as a basis today's situation, language It is about potential shutdown about two hours a day. " The likelihood of emergency shutdowns in the regions is more than 50%.

It is about potential shutdowns about two hours a day Volodymyr Omelchenko believes that the risks of stabilization and planned shutdowns this week are very high throughout the country, in particular in Kiev. If strokes on energy facilities continue, the likelihood of transition to stabilization schedules of supply is almost 100 percent. And especially difficult situation today in Kharkiv and Odessa regions. With regard to the timing of the equipment restoration, they are very different.

Something can be repaired in a week and something in a year, especially when it comes to generation equipment. "Soon the situation will improve at the expense of serious warming: the sun will work, switch off the heating. But still April will be difficult for Ukrainian energy," Vladimir Omelchenko summed up. " hours.

” April will be extremely difficult for Ukrainian energy to be very difficult Andrian Prokip agrees with a colleague and advises consumers to follow the recommendations that were given in 2022: saving electricity, not switching on unnecessary devices, if possible, to carry the use of electrical appliances from peak hours for night.