Russia finishes preparation for the offensive. Under the blow of Donbas, Zaporozhye and Kyiv

"Various sources claim that about 300,000 fighters have been prepared, 50,000 are well trained and equipment. In addition to Donbass and Zaporizhzhia, there will be distractions in Kyiv, Mykolaiv, Odessa. Otherwise, there will be very little chance of winning this war. Purely mathematically. " Opinion.

The calculation that Ukraine will have to put into battle those high quality reserves that are now being prepared in the Union countries to restrain these attacking blows, and thereby spend its offensive potential. Of course, neither Kiev nor Odessa and so on the enemy will take. The aggressor troops are unlikely to have serious progress. Unless the situation will happen last summer, when the under -imperia has almost reached the administrative border of the Luhansk region.

But it is more important for the enemy to finally translate the fighting into a protracted position. Turn everything into a war on exhaustion. Because in such a war, Ukraine has a minimal chance. Yes, modern weapons ends in the shortage, and we are getting more and more. But the old, Soviet times - remains there. Old howitzers D-30 shoot inaccurately, but shoot. And the old unprotected T-55 tank is slow, but moves. And also shoots.

And submissive mobes without reliable bulletproof vests and communication, armed with "Kalash", crawl forward and also shoot in the direction of our positions. They die like flies, for example, the streets of Soledar are littered with corpses of the invaders, but crawling. According to the laws of large numbers, some of these shells and balls will engage in our soldiers. And on that side, living power resources are ten times larger. And it is not a pity to anyone in a non -imperia.

No, of course, generals who fight in Stalin, nor native and close mobic mobilized mobilized mobilized mobilized, with longing, but wandering. In this mode, stupidly pressing and firing from the Soviet old, unfortunately, is able to fight for years. In a few years, the US president and support of Ukraine may be significantly reduced in the United States. In fact, the Kremlin and the calculation.

Ukraine is vital to reflect the situation this year, not allowing the enemy to delay the war, where it will receive a resource advantage by living force. It is necessary, by competently maneuvering, to restrain the offensive, which will begin in February, to demand the enemy, and then to put into battle reserves and to make a rapid counter -offensive. That is, to repeat what we have already seen in the Armed Forces near Kharkiv and Kherson.

The liberation of the occupied territories should be large -scale and as indicative that internal political upheavals begin in short -term. You see, the loss of them there. But the defeats that do not hide, they respond too painful. Hysterically, I would say. In this sense, the directions of our counter -offensive are quite obvious. It can be the promotion towards the Crimea with the west to the peninsula to the Krasnoperekopskaya line.

Or the release of Donbass, and directly Lugansk and Donetsk is not necessary to storm, it is enough to take them in blockade and cut ways of supplying weapons and ammunition. This task is quite real, taking into account that the corps formed from the Donbass residents are practically exhausted. And the army of the aggressor did not consider the Donbas as its Russian territory, and does not consider it now, especially stubbornly to defend it it will not become.

Our successful counter -offensive gives a good chance of productive negotiations on fair conditions for the termination of hostilities. Of course, it will not be a strong world, but a temporary pause. But we will have the opportunity to seriously strengthen our defense capability, first of all, at the expense of our own production. And also engage in the purposeful collapse of under -imperial from the inside, which is vital for Ukraine.