Wagner is torn under Belgorod. Why did Prigogine's army go against the army of the Russian Federation

The battle, which was most likely accompanied by losses on both sides, ended with the captivity of the brigade commander and recording his "repentance video". Everything was great in this news. Some of the observers have already hurried to conclude about the beginning of almost war between Russian security forces. Even more brilliant was the conclusions about attempting to attempt Prigogine. But let's try to disassemble this case. 1. Will Prigoine kill? Perhaps, but not today. It is more than needed.

And so there are several reasons so that it is not necessary to kill the Kremlin Prison today. Moreover, he did not give Putin the reason to doubt his loyalty. (I will be remembered here by sharp statements about "grandfather". But I disappoint-"Grandpa" Prigogine calls not Putin-read his statements in the past 6-7 years). Why then mines? Minging is probably a few days (if not for weeks) before. Most likely, when Prigogine put his ultimatum on Bakhmut's transmission of "army units".

The Russian Federation did not understand who should change the Prigogin detachments and quite logically, which could have passed the mines to prevent the unauthorized exit of the Wagnets from Bakhmut. Moreover, it is about the pugs on the "manual" management. Did the Prigogine know about it? Most likely, yes. Why didn't you declare immediately? It should not be forgotten that the mentioned character works very professionally on the information field.

And lifting such a case is advisable at the right time and in the right circumstances. And here let's remember the logic of Prigogine's actions. It was very important for him to bring his units to the rear. So he kept part of his PVC and could again become extremely "needed" at the beginning of the Armed Forces. After all, 20-25 thousand reserves are not unnecessary.

And the owner of the Wagner PEC would again be a "savior of Russia" against the background of the inability of the Shogga department to solve the tasks. But a new case appeared - the Belgorod region. It is obvious that the RDC and Legion of "Freedom of Russia" are not enough for the capture and maintenance of a large territory. Especially in the case of full front fights. Today's operations are raids.

But these operations are of great information and psychological importance, as they demonstrate the inability of the Russian Armed Forces to ensure the defense of their country's territory (within 1991). To correct the situation, the army leadership can remove part of the units from the front, but will become vulnerable in the event of an offensive of the Armed Forces. You can also send Rosgvardia, but Putin holds the units of Zolotov to ensure stability within the Russian Federation.

However, the commander of "Rosgvardia" has a trump card. Moreover, Kadyrov himself is not against such an option - the reflection of the raids is better than putting his fighters in defense of the front in battles with fresh brigades of the Armed Forces. And there is a prize, who literally tried to play on the topic, saying that he would provide instructors to teaching local TRO.

But the ideal option for him would be to withdraw the Wagner PEC from Ukraine and to throw in Belgorod and Kursk region. The reason is the reflection of the raids and the reflection of the Armed Forces, as they say in Odessa "two big differences". The intensity is different, the level of losses is different. And the bonus in the form of political points is enormous. Especially considering the existence of your media holding, which will start accelerating the theme "Bakhmut's winner saves Russia".

However, the Kremlin with available - the choice between the Army, Cadirov and Wagner. So the need for an "additional impetus". At this point, "stars" came up and to talk about "mines of roads". There was an exacerbation around the problem that Putin's chef was probably knew for several weeks. The Wagnets themselves may have created prerequisites for exacerbation. The sides are silent about when and how the shootout with the 72 brigade began.

After all, at the beginning of the battle is only about attempting to mine and shelling. But you can exchange in different places. In particular, removing ordinary mine fields before positions and (what is of course), taking mines as "trophies". In this case, this happened in the positions of the brigade, which Prigogin accused of cowardice and in which Shoigu tried to deploy "alternative Prigogin" detachments. It is a detachment of "storm", collected from the prisoners.