Peacemakers from the Global South: as India, South Africa, Indonesia can stop the war in Ukraine

Military victory, exit to the borders of 1991, reparations, disintegration of Russia. As a gunman is all the same, but without the last point. The risk of a new war is maintained in this gap: Russian society covers resaity as German in the 1920s. As in the historical context, we all understand well. Safety issues in this context can be solved by security guarantees from our allies (at the transition stage) and then by NATO membership (Article 5, Nuclear umbrella).

I do not analyze the likelihood of this scenario, there is only a statement here. Some of the society believes in the possibility of "freezing" the conflict by signing a truce agreement or without written agreements - on the fact. All these options have one weak place - the threat of a new war and the unresolved key thesis - whether the event will be ready to fight for Ukraine with Russia in the future. But there is also a third option that we have not been considered.

One of the guarantors of peace can be the countries of the global south, which are now actively forming their geopolitical subjectivity and forming proactive international policy. In recent years, the global south successfully overcomes the deficit of subjectivity and has been deprived of mental injuries of the colonial past, overcoming neocolonial traps.

The countries of the global south are interested in the end of the war, because they suffer from its consequences: increase in food prices, global inflation, restriction of supply from Ukraine of agricultural raw materials, high levels of uncertainty in the global fuel market as a result of sanctions on Russian oil and gas.

The coalition of the countries of the Global South as a guarantor of peace could sign an agreement on the termination of hostilities with the Russian Federation, since neither Ukraine nor the West will sign such an agreement. Then - the resolution of the UN Security Council and the introduction into the zone of conflict of the UN peacekeeping mission. The Coalition of the Global South (Wallerstein Peace System) would thus make its geopolitical "initiation".

Who could form the forces of "blue helmets" of the UN? From the point of view of whom the Russian Federation is most important is China. But China's "interested neutrality" makes this impossible - he has issued too much to the Russians geopolitical "advances". Therefore, India, which has the necessary technical resources, could be the key nucle of formation of the UN peacekeeping forces.