Russia plans a new offensive. What should be prepared for Ukrainians

"In the last few days, everyone is just talking about a new offensive of Russian troops. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy believes that the breakdown to understand what is really happening. Thought. Particularly vulnerable such messages were immersed in a state of panic. But to understand what is happening, it is necessary to start in September, when the so -called partial mobilization began in Russia, in which 300,000 people were allegedly called.

that October, then November, and after him December was a record month for Russian occupation troops on losses. They lost 47 110 destroyed and unknown number of wounded. , three or even four? Suppose that two. It is a modest indicator, but even it issues 94220 people. That is, it is total after the start of partial mobilization of loss The Russians amounted to an average of 150 thousand. That is, from the beginning of mobilization, they lost 50% of its plan for a call.

And who replaced these 150 thousand in the war zone of 50 thousand a month? And they were replaced by those who were not on landfills. That is, by the new year, Russian occupation troops have almost completely exhausted the resource of their autumn mobilization, because every unit that has lost its combat capability should be compensated.

The question arises when the mobilization resource goes to zero? Judging by the acceleration of losses, by the end of February - early March September, there will be practically no draft conscription. That is, in January and February, they need to collect compensation for these promising losses, which is at least 50 thousand people a month. And not only.

After all, 50 thousand is a compensatory indicator that is spent in a month, therefore, a complete compensation should be a quantitative indicator of at least 100 thousand. And this is only the part in the war zone. In order to implement a plan of a protracted war, this number should be much higher in the month, and for a new, large-scale offensive operation, exceeds the mobilization of 150-200 thousand per month.

Following the example of previous mobilization, we saw that all this unprofessional and substandard mass faster inhibited the Armed Forces than blocked them. Otherwise, they did not bring any achievements, if you do not talk about the records of their own losses. But the main question… They made it difficult to provide mobilized first wave, and what will the following waves provide? Mosin rifles? It was already nothing new. Tank fists? Unless T-55 and T-34.

Artillery? And where to get the shells? Every mobilized in the sledge hammer? So, the Armed Forces will simply need more weapons and ammunition to destroy more mobilized. And this is exactly what the president said, and this is what will happen if the Russian command wants to use the resource for a new offensive.