When the war is over: As blows on the Russian refinery become the main Ukrainian front

"When will Ukraine win the war?" - Economist Volodymyr Omelchenko asks the question. In his opinion, when oil is over, so strikes on Russian refineries become a "golden key" to our victory. After powerful shelling of P*sides of March 22-23 this year, the united energy system of Ukraine (UES) has an alarming situation. After all, the largest hydroelectric power plant of Ukraine Dniproges and up to 50% of all capacity of the DTEK Energo TPP was decommissioned.

That is, the UEC lost its large volume of shunting capacities, which complicated the balancing of the power system. Therefore, if the strikes of Russian terrorists continue, then a return to the schedule of stabilization shutdowns throughout the country should be expected in the near future, since the capacity reserve will not be enough and increased imports will not be able to fully compensate for the power system. It should be noted that recent blows have been much more accurate than 2 years.

This indicates that the Russian Federation has managed to buy a modern element base for high -precision missiles and drones from some of our international partners. The main field of battle in this bloody war after the front line stabilized is energy. Who has a long time for the fuel and energy complex.

In this context, the air defense systems, the ITs, shock drones, missiles, the use of sanctions on energy resources, as well as the ability to manage the energy system and quickly restore it, are crucial. The shelling of Ukrainian critical and civil infrastructure will not end even when Ukraine will return to its Donbas, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions. They will not stop even if Crimea returns. "Peaceful" negotiations will not help here, as well as air defense can guarantee nothing.