Why the Russian Federation will not be able to achieve success on the Zaporozhye front, Hetman (video)
Veteran of the Russian-Ukrainian war, retired Major of the National Guard of Ukraine, Oleksiy Hetman, stated this on the air of the Espresso TV channel. He noted that any offensive is always accompanied by a certain advance, but its scale in the Zaporozhye direction remains minimal. According to him, the echelon defense was built taking into account the possible actions of the enemy. "The advance is insignificant, well, any army that starts offensive actions, it advances in some places.
Well, in the history of wars, there has never been such a case for an army to advance and not advance. That is why the first, second, and third lines of defense are being built, understanding that the first exhausts, the second almost stops, and the third must be stopped. Well, this is military logic," the expert noted. Hetman emphasized that additional Ukrainian reserves are concentrated in this direction, which makes the probability of a Russian breakthrough extremely low.
In addition, the expert considers it unlikely that Russia will concentrate the main blow precisely near Zaporizhzhia. The main destinations remain Pokrovsk, Kostyantynivka and Myrnograd. The expert also recalled that in recent weeks, Russian units have moved from the Zaporizhzhia direction to strengthen the attack near Pokrovsk, so there is no need to expect a breakthrough in the south.
"Therefore, reserves have been drawn up in the direction of Zaporizhzhia and, most likely, Russian offensive actions will be stopped there after all. Moreover, this advance is there, but it is insignificant. It is unlikely to believe that they want to focus the main attack there instead of Pokrovsk. . . Therefore, to expect an escalation - yes, but that there, the Russians will succeed in something significant, there is no reason to think so," Hetman added.