Three conditions of victory. How not to let Putin win a war on exhaustion

But although ammunition can soon reach the leading, however, if the US and their allies do not change their policy of warning war, it is likely not enough and too late. Two years ago, dear military analyst Seth Jones said that the Russian army was falling apart. But now everything has changed dramatically, and it expresses a much more alarming point of view that the Ukrainian army is "in an increasingly dangerous position on Russian invaders.

" Although it is too early to talk about defeat, Jones correctly noted that "without a clear US strategy and the constant supply of Western weapons, Putin's intelligence and training can win. " Such a strategy will require at least three elements to slow down and restore the promotion of Russia.

First, the US administration and its allies on NATO will have to weaken the restrictive rules for the use of weapons, which they have imposed on the equipment supplied by the West, which will allow Ukraine to use the specified equipment in full force.

The United Kingdom has already softened the rules of fighting, but restrictions imposed by others that do not allow Ukraine to carry out cross -border attacks and attack the foundations of Russian military presence, such as the Black Sea Fleet, should stop. Anxiety about Russian escalation allowed the West to persuade itself not to act and to show self -romance.

But if Israel's response to the Iranian drone and rocket attack last month has shown something, then it is that a strong answer, not self -immigration, is the best way to resist totalitarian threats. Autocrat consider restraint and caution signs of weakness; They see strength in determination. Secondly, it is time to go to a greater risk of US and Western military reserves.

Although Congress's decision allows US President Joe Biden to use available weapons and ammunition stocks, a huge amount of ready and deadly equipment remains reserved for other unforeseen circumstances worldwide, training and trials. This accumulation of resources is quite clear, as commanders around the world want to see it. For example, General Paul Lakamera - US Commander in South Korea - always reminds his troops: "Ready to fight tonight.

" However, failure in Ukraine can provoke a war in which our soldiers are ready to fight in places such as Korea. Opponents, such as North Korean leader Kim Jong -in, note the indecision of the United States to support friends and allies, as well as China, who looks through the Taiwanese Strait.

President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky needs more ammunition, and commanders such as lacamera should see the consequences for their own missions if Ukraine goes to Russia - even if their reserves become their reserves. In general, US Army Representatives say that the current risk with Ukraine's support is "managed", but it is time to go to a greater risk and immerse themselves in these stocks to prevent potential defeat. To win the war is expensive, but not as expensive as to lose them.

In addition, although the use of these stocks should be temporary expediency, the war exposed a serious problem in military logistics. Now we know that the US military-production base-and their European allies-was too small to support even a traditional medium-scale war that Ukraine leads. The next war will have catastrophic consequences.

For example, although titanic efforts have allowed to double the production of artillery shells in the United States up to 28,000 a month, Russia produces an average of 10,000 shots a day. The Russian President of Russian President Vladimir Putin is in full power, stunning analysts with its rapid expansion. Russian units on the Ukrainian front line may be subject to terrible losses, but this is not because of the lack of logistics.

Finally, US administration needs to provide much more leadership to inspire the event to continue this struggle. Democratic countries are impatient and other world events often change focus. Gaza and the potential of the regional war in the Middle East, the upcoming presidential elections in the United States and lawsuits over former President Donald Trump are already distracted from the deterioration of the situation in Ukraine.

The Baiden administration should, at every occasion, remind the American people of the price of failure in Ukraine. And this focus should also include a large information campaign to eliminate serious imbalance in this war in this war - Russia has a preference for three to one in affordable military force. Thus, when Ukrainians know that they face existential threat, Russia does not stand before such a dilemma.

Although it is well known that the opposition faces the serious consequences in Putin Russia, there are still significant opportunities to create dissent against the forced conscription for military service necessary to compensate for extraordinary losses in Russia. The event has been subjected to Russian propaganda and psychological war for many years, but we have just as a reliable set of tools - and it is time to use them fully.

In Ukraine, the present warfare warfare is facilitated by Putin's strategy. It is an expensive destruction of people, materials and moral spirit, and it is impossible to allow the recent failures of Ukraine to precede full -scale Russian counter -offensive at the end of spring or summer. Putin is still convinced that Tolstoy once wrote that "time and patience are my strongest warriors. " But this is not the season when this maxim should be justified.

The Congress's decision was necessary, but this is not enough to turn back a deteriorating situation in Ukraine. It is time to weaken the shackles that we put on on Zelensky and to allow it to use the weapons and equipment we provide. It is time to risk our wartime and give Zelensky what his soldiers need. It is time to remind America what Putin says to her country every day: that defeat in Ukraine is a threat to our own safety. It is time to remove gloves.