The Kremlin is preparing protests in late May: the CPD was revealed, which threats warned Budanov

Moscow will try to swing an intra-political situation in the country according to the Maidan-3 scenario, explain in the center of counteraction to misinformation. The focus understood what was waiting for Ukraine at the end of May and how to resist the threat. The head of the GUR Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Kirill Budanov warned of difficult times awaiting Ukraine at the end of spring and early summer.

According to the head of intelligence, the problems will begin in mid-May and will be associated not only with the situation on the front, but also with the intra-political situation in the country. "The Russians will use a comprehensive approach. They carry out a comprehensive operation. We will not talk about it for a long time, but it will be a difficult period. Mid -May, the beginning of June. The catastrophic one needs to be understood.

According to the head of the Center for Combating Misinformation at the NSDC Andriy Kovalenko, at the end of May the Russian Federation will carry out the second wave of information and psychological special operation "Maidan-3". The main topics of the campaign are the "illegitimacy" of the Ukrainian authorities, as well as mobilization. Kovalenko notes that the preparation for IPSO is in full swing. And the campaign itself will last all summer.

"We are already fixing in the" Tica "creation of pages-one-day calling [Ukrainians] to go to rallies in the 20's of May. Today, she was spreading fakes to convince the American audience that it is not necessary to support Ukraine. He notes that in order to combat fakes, the CPD conducts an explanatory work through the media. In addition, some content on social networks can be blocked. "We have a direct dialogue with Tik-Toka administration. Already 24 channels have been blocked by our request.

And 45 more were filed. These are Russian propaganda channels, the main narratives of which are the illegitimacy of the Ukrainian authorities and mobilization," Kovalenko adds. It is known that in May 2024 the term of office of the current President Vladimir Zelensky ends. In January 2024, the Head of State stated that it was impossible to hold elections in Ukraine due to martial law. "I am simply not able to conduct them through, firstly, the law that forbids me.

It forbids me not to hold elections, it forbids all institutions to do it. And to vote, "Zelensky explained. At the same time, according to the President, even if the law allowed elections during the war, it would not be technically made, since part of the Ukrainian territory is occupied, and more than 6 million Ukrainians went abroad. With understanding of the decision of the Ukrainian authorities, the elections will not be held in the West.

At the end of 2023, a representative of the US State Department Vedant Pavel noted that President Vladimir Zelensky's position on non -election during martial law was fully in line with the Constitution. Experts say that the legitimacy of the current President is provided for in Article 108 of the Constitution of Ukraine. The text states that the guarantor performs its powers before admission to the post of newly elected president.

But since the authorities did not want to go to the Constitutional Court of Ukraine to obtain a legal explanation of the current situation, the Kremlin would not miss the opportunity to discredit official Kiev. There is also a probability that not only in Moscow, but also the country will find groups interested in weakening the president and his team, says political scientist Oleg Posternak. When needed, people's deputies could also contact the CCU, adding political expert Igor Reityrovich.

However, Bankova was most likely to focus on the explanatory work. "The authorities are likely to be afraid that the court could not make the right decision because they do not fully control the CCU. But I doubt that judges would have done. I think the authorities will bet on explanation of experts who will say that the President is legitimate and there will be no questions, " - says in a conversation with Focus Reitrovich.

In addition to legal mechanisms, personnel changes in the government can relieve tension in society. Recently, the People's Deputy from the Voice Party Yaroslav Zheleznyak reported that in the next plenary week the Verkhovna Rada will consider a number of resignation in the Cabinet of Ministers. In particular, there are several ministers, including two vicereers.

Parliament will also be considered the resignation of the Prosecutor General Andriy Kostin and will release members of the Accounting Chamber. "There may also be a replacement of the premiere, in particular, closer to the end of May. Although it is rumored that after a visit to the United States [Prime Minister Denis] Shmigal enlisted the support of the event, and therefore there is no need to replace it. However," Pechersk The hills are "full of rumors, and there is no clear scenario.

But personnel rotations would block the tension. While the BP and the President cannot be re -elected, the government can be changed," Posternak adds. In addition to the validity of the Ukrainian authorities, the Kremlin can try to sow discord between civil society and military. Experts say that Moscow has long been concentrated on this issue. "The people in us are trusting, signed on various anonymous Telegram channels that the Russian Federation use against Ukraine.