Problems for Putin why on the eve of the election Russian dictator can't feel calm

If in the future elections Putin gets less than 80 percent, it will fail, says analyst Alexei Kopitko. And this will be the event signal that Putin is not a constant in Russian politics, that he - the magnitude of the variable has reduced some materials here and noted the trend. Some of our fellow citizens are convinced that there is no point in fixing various troubles in Russia, because Putin will still "choose".

Just like the Kremlin, it makes no sense to dance before the electorate, because "all and so for Putin. " Here is the nuance. Putin will definitely continue in office. However, the "elections" of the Russian leader should be evaluated on another scale. The "elections" of permanent authoritarian executives have their own peculiarities. The leader of the democratic country can win with a result of 51%, and it will be a victory that provides sufficient legitimacy.

The authoritarian leader should start from 65+%. But Putin is not the average authoritarian leader. It is an international criminal (with a child abduction warrant) who manages the largest nuclear state. The goals he declares: it is not enough to simply "win elections. " It is necessary: ​​a master class of pure acquisition of boundless powers a year ago was demonstrated by Emperor Si. There was both symbolism and hardware technique. A negative example in this regard is Lukashenko's elections.

The Minsk Puurer was guaranteed and won the election in 2020. But it reached up to 80% (as a result, he was drawn 80. 1%). At that time, this bar was already unattainable without gross violations. Plus the situation was actively rocked from Moscow, driving Grigorych into a corner. As a result, Lukashenko continued, but because of the massacre on people he restricted his maneuver, and now he is forced to continue the repression, burning everything living.

The other day, he expressed concern for the preparation of local and parliamentary elections, which will take place in a month . . . The Belarusian script for Putin is unacceptable. He should win the "competition" against the background of general adoration. Otherwise not solid. The preparatory work was carried out. Opponents on the turbo patriotic flank are physically cleared. The role of the "opponent" of Liberal Candidate Boris Nadyzhdin.

Which should be the epitome of non -systemic anti -war opposition and to lose. However, the bad news complicates the Kremlin's task. Each new collapse of housing, every new arrival on the refinery spoils the picture. The most dangerous for Putin now is the socio-economic agenda. Therefore, the signals that manufacturers and retail networks have been banned from raising prices in the coming months. And that the ruble will be kept blood from the nose.

Therefore, the lion's share of its appearing is accompanied by some address social measures. To prevent the electorate from sad, Rospropaganda turns the seizure of a dozen destroyed houses to the victory of the Napoleonic level. With all this, the mild anti -war rhetoric of Nadezhdin is supported. If the Kremlin feels that 80% is desirable, the Nadezhdin will simply be removed. But the refusal of even such sterile competition will be a sign of weakness.

The lower the real support (below 80%) - the more you have to tighten - the greater the likelihood of excesses. The dirty and non -lingual continuation of the Tatrostice, just as a clear demonstration of the fear of competition, will undermine the myth of the inviolability of his positions. Many partners now proceed from the logic that the Rosvoda is a constant that will have to deal with.