Final next year: an expert told how much more Russian economy will drag the war (video)

According to a leading economic specialist Andriy Novak, the end of the invasion of Ukraine will depend on several factors. It all depends on who is the first rebel - the elite of the Kremlin or the people. Active fighting is always accompanied by a high budget expense and the Russian economy has not been an exception. The leading economic specialist and chairman of the New Country Charitable Foundation Andriy Novak told the focus how much Russia could extend.

According to him, even if there is a default inside the Russian Federation, they will not recognize it in public. At the same time, it has already come, because the Kremlin does not fulfill its debt. "As of now, the Russian Federal Budget deficit began at the beginning of this year. This is when their expenditures are higher than their income, including gas, oil and gas -dollar. progression. How much can they stand? About as much as the Russian people are ready to endure.

According to the principle of "stones from heaven" as we heard, " - said Andrei Novak. Separately, the expert spoke about another scenario. This may continue as long as these losses are ready to bear the political and business elites of the Russian Federation. According to preliminary data, they have lost hundreds of billions of dollars, but they are in no hurry to talk to the Kremlin about the end of the war. It is necessary to wait for the first to be inflamed: the elite or the people.

"It can be this month, maybe in six months, and maybe a year. Economically, the Russian Federation does not withstand this rate roles. They fire a peaceful civilian infrastructure, but they do not play roles at the front, "Andrei Novak continued. It also leaves the best condition of Russian weapons, because the Armed Forces also cause tremendous losses to the enemy in this area, and to replenish them with almost nothing, because production has stopped through sanctions.

All electronics and western chips. Such a negative will only grow every day, the expert continues. Andriy Novak also added that Russia can only withstand a year economically, it is a maximum. During this time, additional sanctions will be imposed and the Armed Forces will continue to cause losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. You should not forget about the supply of F-16 fighter jets, which will also worsen the tricky position of the enemy.

"Those who talk about the war for 10 years. Well you. Even the Soviet Union, a small war in Afghanistan for 10 years, what result? Dynamics indicates that Ukraine is increasingly stronger and stronger, in all aspects, and Russia Here's the weaker and weaker. Here is the dynamics mutual, I think the finale will still be next year, "-continued the leading economic specialist.