Incidents

Putin will attack Europe in the winter of 2024 or 2025 - Western intelligence

Moscow is likely to choose the "powerless period" in the United States for new military aggression. If Russia is losing in Ukraine, the risk of NATO countries will decrease significantly, so it is not possible to stop military assistance, representatives of the intelligence organs of the EU countries say. Russia can try to attack Europe in the winter of 2024 or 2025.

At this time, there will be no president in the United States temporarily, and the EU will not be able to help quickly, writes German tabloid Bild, citing a source in one of the European intelligence. Journalists refer to the period between the departure of US President Joe Baiden in early November 2024 and joining his successor in January 2025.

At the same time, Moscow hopes for the return to the White House of Expatient Donald Trump, because during his reign "anything can happen," the interlocutors say. German Minister Boris Pistorius has already warned the need to improve preparation for the country's defense. Berlin has between five and eight years old, which need to be recovered in the army, industry and society. Bild also writes about Germany's intention to transfer four thousand Bundeswehr soldiers to Lithuania by 2027.

For the first time in history on a constant basis, a whole brigade will be located on the Eastern Flanging, near the border with Russia. Jacek Seviera, the head of the National Security Department of Poland, spoke about the need to pay attention to the risk of confrontation with the Russian Federation. NATO countries have a maximum of three years on the eastern flank. During this time, the potential should be created on the eastern flank, which is a clear restraining factor of aggression.

Lithuanian Defense Minister Arvidas Anushauskas believes that the Russian army has now been "closed in Ukraine", so it is impossible to lose Kiev. "If we provide a military defeat in Ukraine in Ukraine, the risk of NATO attack will decrease significantly. There is no difference what time window you consider realistic: three, eight or ten years. It is important to prepare for a Russian attack immediately," the official said.